⬛ Is Block Setting Up A Firm Base?

TD expands presence in the US.


Hey Global Investor! Here’s what you need to know before the US markets open.

Market Snapshot 📈

S&P 500 (Monday’s Close) 4,373.94 -10.71 (0.24%)

NASDAQ (Monday’s Close) 13,751.40 +56.78 (0.41%)

FTSE 100 (5 PM IST) 7,384.89 -73.36 (0.98%)

NIFTY 50 (Monday’s Close) 16,793.90 +135.50 (0.81%)

USDINR (Monday’s Close) 75.39 (1 Year +2.44%


🔥 Top Movers

REGI +40.38%
EVBG +29.11%
FHN +28.66%

EPAM -45.68%
VTRS -24.28%
AUPH -24.26%


⬛ Block: Building Blocks For A Giant?

Financial services and digital payments operator Block Inc. (SQ), formerly known as Square, beat estimates in Q4. This while other Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL) operators struggle with mounting losses. With Cash App & Afterpay, Block is looking to forge ahead of its competition. (Tweet This)

Solving Multiple Problems At Once

Jack Dorsey and Jim McKelvey wanted to solve a problem. They wished to find an easier way for artists and vendors to accept credit cards. Their solution: a plastic, stamp-sized dongle, which can be plugged into an iPhone jack. That was the beginning of Square in 2009. While running Twitter, Dorsey would also ride the ever-growing wave of Smartphones and digital payments through Square.

It first struck a deal with Apple to sell its hardware in stores. In August 2012, Starbucks invested $25M in the fledgling startup. Square became the exclusive processor of debit and credit card payments at all 7K outlets of Starbucks in the US.

While Starbucks accounted for 11% of Square’s sales in 2015, the processing costs were high enough to account for 21% of Square’s overall transaction costs. Between 2012 to 2015, Square lost $71M from processing payments at Starbucks. The deal ended the following year.

Today, Block is a bank insured by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC); it operates a consumer payments platform; it allows stock and crypto trading; it also issues physical debit cards. It also acquired Jay-Z’s failed music service TIDAL for $302M and Australia’s BNPL pioneer, Afterpay.

Square’s biggest hit, the Cash App, was launched in 2013. This peer-to-peer (P2P) payment service allowed customers to pay all kinds of bills and transfer money through smartphones. That put it squarely in competition with the likes of PayPal’s Venmo, Apple Pay, and Google Pay.

Last December, the company changed its name to Block. The company’s shares are now listed in Australia as part of a secondary listing owing to its acquisition of Afterpay.

Buy Now Pay Later (BNPL) companies had a tough time in 2021, which has continued during the start of the new year. Mounting losses, fears of regulatory oversight, and questions on the business model itself had sent shares crashing down from their peaks.

Block was not insulated from this correction either. While it is not just a BNPL operator, volatility in the crypto and equity markets also fuelled sour investor sentiment.

The After Effects Of Afterpay?

Block’s Q4 results managed to beat street expectations.

Key Highlights From Q4:

  • Revenue: $4.08B Vs $3.88B expected
  • EPS: $0.27 Vs $0.22 expected

Half of Block’s revenue in Q4 came from Bitcoin transactions through the Cash App. Revenue from these transactions totaled $1.96B in Q4. Bitcoin revenues were up 12% Y-o-Y, yet significantly lower than the $3.5B peaks it had seen during Q1 2021. With Crypto prices being crushed and active users declining, that stream may evaporate if the trend continues.

Jack Dorsey has called Bitcoin the “native currency of the internet.” In Q4 2020, Block purchased Bitcoin worth $50M, followed by another $170M worth of the cryptocurrency in Q1 2021. With Bitcoin’s value falling, the company reported an impairment loss of $71M for the full year. Block does not allow transacting in any other cryptocurrency like Dogecoin or Ethereum.

Be that as it may, its Cash App generated Q4 revenue of $2.55B (up 18% Y-o-Y) and is ~60% of the overall top line. For 2021, Cash App’s revenue doubled to $12.32B. For Q1, management is even more bullish about the Cash App, projecting profits of ~$550M compared to $518M in Q4.

New launches like Cash App Pay, a new contactless payment method for both online and offline transactions, Cash App Taxes, the revamped version of the Credit Karma acquisition, and Cash App for teens between the ages of 13 and 17 are likely to add to the momentum in 2022.

Block’s $29B all-stock deal of Afterpay was completed last month. Earnings from Afterpay will start accruing this month. For Afterpay, Gross Merchandise Volume rose 54% Y-o-Y while revenue and gross profit rose 53% in the same period. Active merchants on the platform grew 64% from last year to 122K, while annual active customers increased 47% from the previous year to 19M.

Block went public in 2015, valuing its shares at a mere $9. Since then, shares rose a whopping 3,111% to their peak of $289.23 in August last year. However, shares have fallen 67% since, including 45% this year itself.

Investors were clamoring for good results in Q4 and what they heard made them happy. Shares jumped 26% last Friday. There was a sigh of relief that maybe, just maybe, the company is not as dependent on Bitcoin as it once was.

The management still has a number of foundation blocks to put in place as Block looks to build out multiple verticals. That work is always ongoing!

Market Reaction
SQ ended at $127.50, up 6.41%.

Company Snapshot 📈

SQ $127.50 +7.68 (6.41%)

Analyst Ratings (43 Analysts) BUY 67%  HOLD 28%  SELL 5%


Newsworthy 📰

Spread: TD expands in the US with $13.4B First Horizon purchase in its biggest-ever deal (FHN +28.66%)

Brakes: Lordstown Motors shares sink on underwhelming production plans, uncertainty around Foxconn deal (RIDE -19.94%)

Reasoning: HP Inc. CEO defends stock buyback program, says it will continue as shares are undervalued (HPQ -2.56%)


Later Today 🕒

  • Baidu Inc. Earnings (BIDU)
  • Salesforce.com Inc. Earnings (CRM)
  • Kohl’s Corp. Earnings (KSS)
  • Target Corp. Earnings (TGT)
  • Nio Inc. Earnings (NIO)
  • SoFi Technologies Inc. Earnings (SOFI)
  • Wendy’s Co. Earnings (WEN)
  • AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc. Earnings (AMC)
  • Domino’s Pizza Inc. Earnings (DPZ)
  • First Solar Inc. Earnings (FSLR)
  • Hewlett Packard Enterprise Co. Earnings (HPE)
  • Manchester United Plc Earnings (MANU)
  • Plug Power Inc. Earnings (PLUG)
  • Sea Ltd. Earnings (SE)
  • 8:15 PM IST: Markit Manufacturing PMI

Today’s Market Terminology: Delta

Delta is the ratio of the change in price of an option to the change in price of the underlying asset


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